Professional Sports Bettor Steve Fezzik - @FezzikSports breaks down the NFL week with his trusted handicapping expertise— and injury intel powered by SIC Health Scores to see which game offers the sharpest betting edge this week.
Jags to Hit Longest Field Goal — A Quietly Sharp Prop Angle
One of the sharper prop bets on the Wild Card board is Jacksonville to record the longest made field goal, currently -145 at DraftKings Sportsbook. The price should realistically be steeper given the injury situation on the Buffalo side and the leg talent gap between the two kickers.
Buffalo’s kicker Matt Prater enters the game nursing a quad injury, a major red flag for any long-range attempt. Quad issues directly impact both power and accuracy, and teams typically shorten the distance line for injured kickers — opting for fourth-down aggression or punts rather than testing a compromised leg from deep.
On the other sideline, Jacksonville’s Cam Little possesses one of the biggest legs in football. He already owns the NFL record for longest field goal (63 yards) and is routinely trusted to hit from distance. Healthy, explosive, and with proven long-range accuracy, Little gives the Jaguars a decisive edge in any “longest FG” market.
When combining the Prater injury downgrade, Buffalo’s likely conservative field-goal decision-making, and Little’s elite power profile, this prop is mispriced. Jags to hit the longest FG at -145 should be graded closer to a heavy favorite — making this a sharp, injury-based value play.
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