Professional Sports Bettor Steve Fezzik - @FezzikSports breaks down the NFL week with his trusted handicapping expertise— and injury intel powered by SIC Health Scores to see which game offers the sharpest betting edge this week.
New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears - Betting Analysis
The Chicago Bears come into this matchup riding a misleading two-game winning streak. Both victories — 25-24 over the Raiders and Washington — were phony finals that masked how thoroughly Chicago was outplayed in both contests. Despite escaping with wins, the Bears were outgained in total yardage and outperformed in efficiency metrics, showing that their recent success is more about fortunate timing and turnover luck than sustained quality play.
The New Orleans Saints aren’t an elite team by any means, but they’ve shown consistent effort and competitiveness in every game. Their defense continues to play hard, and their offensive execution has been improving. Importantly, New Orleans enters this game with the health advantage. Chicago is dealing with multiple defensive injuries, including their top defensive linemen and a key cornerback likely out. On offense, star wide receiver DJ Moore and running back D’Andre Swift are both hampered and expected to play through pain — a situation that limits their explosiveness and reliability.
Adding to the value on New Orleans is the situational angle: the Bears are not accustomed to being favorites by this margin. Laying five points is a different kind of pressure for a team that has thrived more as an underdog. With the Saints healthier and more battle-tested, the points are simply too generous here.
The Pick: New Orleans Saints +5
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