Professional Sports Bettor Steve Fezzik - @FezzikSports breaks down the NFL week with his trusted handicapping expertise— and injury intel powered by SIC Health Scores to see which game offers the sharpest betting edge this week.
This week, the play is simple: give me Seattle. The Seahawks dropped a coin-flip game against San Francisco in Week 1, while Pittsburgh snuck away with a coin-flip win against the Jets. One team got unlucky, the other got fortunate. Now, the market is tilting too far toward the Steelers based on that result.
The injury angle clearly favors Seattle. Pittsburgh took some hits last week, especially on defense. Safety DeShon Elliott (knee) and cornerback Joey Porter Jr. (hamstring) are both sidelined heading into Sunday, compromising a secondary that will be tested by Seattle’s weapons. The Seahawks, on the other hand, come in with a noticeable health advantage, which often proves decisive this early in the season.
Finally, the trend points in Seattle’s direction. Since 2000, NFL teams starting 0-1 straight up have gone 54-40 against the spread when facing opponents starting 1-0. Early losses create urgency, while early wins can create a false sense of security. Seattle checks the box for urgency, health, and value.
Pick: Seattle Seahawks +3
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