2 min read • January 10, 2025
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In Partnership with Steve Fezzik - @FezzikSports on X
Famous sports bettor Steve Fezzik and injury analysis experts at SICscore.com are partnering throughout the season to provide deeper insights into how injuries and game dynamics affect betting outcomes. Through 18 weeks these picks are 10-8.
Heading into Wild Card Weekend, one prop to consider is Mike Evans under 75.5 receiving yards. Evans’ recent surge in production came last week when Tampa Bay fed him the ball repeatedly to help him surpass 1,000 yards, hit key incentives, and further solidify his legacy. With that milestone now achieved, it’s unlikely the Buccaneers will force-feed him the ball again in the playoffs.
Buccaneers wideout Jalen McMillan offers a much better value. McMillan's receiving yard line is set at over 52.5 yards, a number he has surpassed in four of the last five games. He has effectively stepped into Chris Godwin’s role but isn’t being priced like Godwin was, making him an excellent pick. Meanwhile, Evans' line of 75.5 yards feels inflated given that he and McMillan are performing at a comparable level right now.
Additionally, Evans is expected to face Washington's top cornerback, who has had significant success in matchups against elite receivers. This makes McMillan over 52.5 and Evans under 75.5 a compelling combination to bet on. The value lies in recognizing that McMillan’s role has expanded without being properly reflected in his line, while Evans’ matchup and recent circumstances make it unlikely for him to eclipse his higher number.
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